Another Day, Another Poll Showing Coalition Landslide...

The latest face-to-face Morgan Poll conducted over the last two weekends, June 25/26 & July 2/3 2011, shows the L-NP 58.5% (up 4% over the last two weeks) with a clear winning lead over the ALP 41.5% (down 4%).

The L-NP primary vote is 49% (up 2.5%), still well ahead of the ALP 31.5% (down 3.5%). Support for the minor parties shows the Greens 11.5% (unchanged) and Others/ Independents 8% (up 1%).

If a Federal election were held today the L-NP would easily win according to today’s Morgan Poll.

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is at 96.5 (the lowest ever recorded) with 40% (down 3%) of Australians saying Australia is ‘heading in the right direction,’ while 43.5% (up 5.5%) say Australia is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

via www.roymorgan.com

Comments

[Rose_Torossian]

1.

I believe this to be a very accurate poll. It was confirmed 100% by my niece jumping into my car with her Catholic School Magazine saying "I HATE Julia Gillard! I LOVE Tony Abbott!." My mouth dropped wide open as I turned to the back seat, just in time, to catch a glimpse of Julia Gillard on the front cover of the magazine and my nephew throwing himself onto his sister shouting "No! I HATE Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott. I LIKE Joe Hockey!."

I have NO IDEA where or who they get these ideas from ;-P However, the Liberal Party WOULD win if we had an election today :-)

[Lillith]

2.

What????

[Rose_Torossian]

3.

Lillith, MZ Editors have posted a boring topic...I didn't think it would be flooded by posts so I thought I'd post an anecdote to make "Another Day, Another Poll Showing Coalition Landslide..." more interesting! I guess it worked if it caught your attention :-D

[Marksouth]

4.

The interesting question is how long the ALP will spend in the wilderness this time once they're tossed out of office. Could be quite a while before we have to deal with them again.

[CynicalGoatWA]

5.

Jez that'd be a shame wouldn't it Marksouth........

[Stu]

6.

This says it all really! (with apologies to Bobby Darin).
http://youtu.be/ObEYDWFMhFo

[Andrew]

7.

A brilliant image of Julia cooking .... um the books, the golden goose ????

http://resources0.news.com.au/images/2011/07/08/1226090/956336-110709-bill-leak.jpeg

[Vikas Nayak]

8.

Not nessesarily as long as you think. Reactionary opposition to bad governance hinges on Abbott's delivery of the most popular of his policies (of which, there's practically none).

People arent exactly huge fans of Carbon Sequestering, corperate tax cuts and paid maternity leave has been killed inside the party itself. He'll win as a protest vote, and any labor politician offering something different to what the greens are saying will sail in.

[Vikas Nayak]

9.

That is to say, i dont believe it will be a Beazley/Crean/Latham wilderness for Labor.

[Richo]

10.

I would like to see it in excess of 60-40 before I crack open the champagne. Rust takes a while to get off...

[Anton]

11.

The issue driving politics at the moment is cost of living pressure. If the Lib/Nat/LNP get into government they will need to achieve a substantial improvement in people's income/expenditure situation.

The only direct way to achieve this will be to reduce taxes.
The only way to fund this will be to cut the public service wage bill and "nation building" projects.

That would fuel a Labor/left recovery from the public servants.

A difficult but not impossible balancing act

[Georgina]

12.

Julia Gillard will not call an election until she has swayed some senseless people that she is thinking of them and that her compensation package will work. My guess is that she will call an election this year and may win because these people think they are going to get what she promises.

However, it seems all the tax is going towards compensation to pensioners ($4 week which won't go anywhere, to the needy,to industry $3bln to green works (doesn't do anything) to the UN ($1bln) etc. etc.

When the money runs out "sorry no money left - no mor ecompensation And our debt will be enormous (bad enough now) if there is another GFC2 which is most likely

[Max Rawnsley]

13.

The short term memory loss that is endemic amongst Australia voters will serve the ALP well next election. The innate 'no worries''she'll be right mate' approach favours slick marketing and superficiality. The ALP specialises in it and those who believe they must go must never forget this and work night and day to keep BER, DER, carbon (dioxide) tax, the waste of the insulation project, the ratty decision-making of the cattle export mess, the deceit of the NSW and Victorian ALP governments only now emerging in the mid of the voters.
'
We must not get enmeshed in the 'left' ' right' 'conservative' tagging game; Hawke made a virtue of it. We must stay with what is best for Australia; transparent and purposeful policies and actions that serve the greater good and the unambiguous best interest of Australia

[Marksouth]

14.

I've often wondered if there's a predictable cycle in Australian party politics (Since 1975 each party has had a turn at government for a decade or so before the public gets tired of them) or whether there exists a subtle bias towards one side.

My suspicion has always been that Australians inherently swing towards conservatism and will default towards more right-of-centre offerings unless the left throws up someone particularly exciting as leader. The ALP has given us only one PM who lasted longer than four years in the post-WW2 period, and powerful minor parties in that time have tended to take more votes from the ALP than the other side.

I haven't lived in Australia for about a decade so I could be out of touch with a changing zeitgeist. There could also be a big shift in opinion between now and 2013. But watching federal Labor's struggles over the years and seeing them battle the Greens in core constituencies makes me wonder what their future will be like.